Monday, July 28, 2008

Economic competitors now building ties

After Japan’s miraculous post-war economic recovery, it became the undisputed titan of Asia and currently sits at the pinnacle of world economies, second only to the United States.

Even though China is down at fourth in the world rankings, its growth is off the charts since its first boom in the eighties, and it continues to roll on like a freight train. In the last couple of decades Japan has not kept up with its noisy neighbour’s double–digit growth figures, only managing 2 percent in 2007 compared to China’s 12 percent.

Many analysts now believe China should really be higher up in the economy rankings, if certain important indicators were given more precedence.

The rivalry of the two ancient and dominant Asian cultures has led to many conflicts in political and economic arenas.

A good example is the significant need and competition for energy imports. Although China has a fair amount of coal resources, both countries depend almost entirely on imports for energy, mostly oil and gas, to fuel their rampant economies.

The energy war has produced periods of raised tensions and, in turn, maritime border and island disputes in the East China Sea, an area where there are known to be oil and gas reserves yet to be tapped.

Despite this, economic partnership between the old enemies has gotten much closer in the last decade. With the two nations accounting for nearly 80% of economic activity in East Asia, it makes sense to work together.

Bilateral trade between Japan and China reached a huge $240 billion in 2007, a figure which means China has overtaken the United States as Japan’s biggest trading partner. China has, since 2004, become the number one market for Japanese exports and the trend is only increasing.

Mutual investment is also on the rise, although still heavily slanted towards Japanese firms investing in China. Money is beginning to move the other way more recently.

Analysts say the relationship is extremely beneficial to both sides and can improve. Stuart Poulson, Head of Corporate trading at Nikko-Desjardins Asset Management said in a phone interview, “China is always looking for new investment and technology to boost its already motoring economy, Japan is a good fit for that. Meanwhile, Japan will always want a growing and nearby market for its exports. It’s a wonder the two nations haven’t forged closer links before.”